Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Colorado -1½  +215 over Chicago

8:40 PM EST. The total in this one is 12½, and that tells you everything you need to know about the expected run environment at Coors Field. This park has earned its reputation because runs come in bunches, leads disappear quickly, and crooked numbers can show up at any point. When oddsmakers are hanging totals this high, it creates added value on the reverse run line because there's a much greater chance that one team pulls away by multiple runs.

Chicago has been struggling badly for the better part of a month and continues to find ways to lose games. Meanwhile, Colorado remains a much tougher out at home than the market often gives them credit for. The Rockies have consistently shown they can generate offense in this park, regardless of who's on the mound.

With another high-scoring game expected and a total that suggests plenty of traffic on the bases, we'll gladly take this generous price on Colorado to win by two runs or more. In a ballpark where games can get out of hand in a hurry, the reverse run line is often the preferred way to attack it.

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