Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.
Edmonton/ BC under 58½ -110
7:00 PM EST. The BC Lions have gone over the total in every game they've played this season, and the CFL as a whole has been an over bettor's dream through the opening weeks. Week after week, offenses have been lighting up the scoreboard, and the betting public has taken notice. Totals that were opening in the 51- to 52-point range at the start of the season have steadily climbed, with this one now sitting at a lofty 58½.
When one side of the market cashes repeatedly, sportsbooks have no choice but to adjust. That's exactly what's happened here. Oddsmakers have inflated totals to account for the flood of over money, and the betting public continues to chase those results. That's often where value begins to emerge. We're no longer betting the game based on what has happened over the first few weeks; we're betting the number, and this number has reached a point where it appears to be too high.
Neither team needs to play a poor offensive game for this wager to cash. They simply need to fall short of an extremely demanding total. In the CFL, where momentum can swing from one extreme to another, the best value is often found by fading an overreaction. With the market continuing to push totals higher after a string of overs, we'll gladly take the value on Under 58½.
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Our Pick
Edmonton/ BC under 58½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)