Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Ottawa +6½ +100 over Winnipeg

8:30 PM EST. Ottawa enters this game with zero wins in eight attempts, and their stock has officially hit rock bottom. They’ve not only lost eight straight, they’ve been blown out repeatedly, including a 42-20 loss at Saskatchewan last week and a 34-13 loss to Montreal the week before. Add it all up and Ottawa has been outscored 76-33 over the last two weeks. Nobody wants to buy this team right now—and that’s precisely why we’re interested.

This is a classic buy-low situation. Forget the X’s and O’s, forget the offense, forget the defense, forget all of that. This is strictly a play on the price. The oddsmakers are forced to inflate Ottawa’s number because the public has completely abandoned them. Their record looks terrible, their recent scores look even worse, and their stock has never been lower. But when the market becomes this negative, that’s when we want to step in as buyers.

There’s also a classic look-ahead angle working against Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers have Edmonton waiting for them next week, and that’s the type of spot that can naturally draw attention away from the opponent directly in front of them. The CFL season is a long grind, and with only nine teams and six playoff spots, there’s an old cliche that the real season doesn’t begin until Labor Day weekend. That stretch is right around the corner, and Winnipeg knows it.

So we’re putting the two angles together: Ottawa’s stock is at rock bottom, and Winnipeg has a classic look-ahead spot. Nobody wants Ottawa. Nobody wants to buy Ottawa. That’s exactly what makes us buyers. We’re not asking the Redblacks to suddenly become a great football team—we’re asking the market to have gone too far in burying them. At an inflated price, this is the time to step in and buy low.

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