Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Toronto -4½ -110 over Hamilton

7:00 PM EST. We're going back to Toronto tonight, and we're willing to put last week's ugly loss in Edmonton in the rear-view mirror. That's precisely the type of result that can create value the following week, particularly when the market starts questioning a team that had been playing reasonably well before one complete meltdown. We are not interested in what Toronto did for one night. We're interested in whether this is a good spot to buy them, and we believe it is.

Sure Hamilton is coming in off a nice game, but The Tiger-Cats have had difficulty sustaining their offense for four quarters, and that's a dangerous flaw against a Toronto team that should be considerably more comfortable back at home. The Argonauts have enough offensive ability to put Hamilton under pressure, and we expect them to be much more aggressive than they were a week ago.

This is also a good buy-low, sell-high situation for us. Toronto is coming off the kind of performance that attracts negative attention, while Hamilton is getting some credit for knocking off Saskatchewan. That's exactly how we like to approach these games. We don't need Toronto to suddenly become a great team; we simply need them to be better than they were last week, and we believe they will be.

Toronto is the play, laying the small number. We think the market has overreacted to one bad performance by the Argos and is giving Hamilton too much credit for one good result. We will take Toronto at home and trust the Argonauts to bounce back with a solid performance and win this game by enough to cover.

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