Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Cleveland +130 over Seattle

Slade Cecconi (RHP - CLE) – 4.50 ERA vs. Logan Gilbert (RHP - SEA) – 3.29 ERA

7:10 PM EST. Cleveland enters this matchup as a home dog, but the pitching matchup may be closer than the betting line suggests. Slade Cecconi has posted a 4.48 ERA over 84.1 innings while making 16 starts, and his underlying metrics indicate he's been a reliable mid-rotation arm. Cecconi owns a 4.44 xERA, 4.46 FIP, 7.04 strikeouts per nine innings, just 2.88 walks per nine, and an impressive 46.0% ground-ball rate. His ability to limit free passes and keep the ball on the ground gives Cleveland a chance to stay in the game against a Seattle offense that has been inconsistent for stretches. Logan Gilbert has been outstanding for Seattle, posting a 3.29 ERA across 93 innings with 9.68 K/9 and only 2.13 BB/9, but his 1.35 HR/9 shows he can be vulnerable when hitters square him up.

The Guardians have built their success around disciplined at-bats, timely hitting, and solid defense rather than relying solely on power. That approach is important against a strikeout pitcher like Gilbert, whose fastball can dominate when hitters expand the zone. Cleveland's offense is capable of manufacturing runs through contact, aggressive baserunning, and situational hitting, while its bullpen has consistently been one of the club's biggest strengths when protecting close games. If Cecconi can work efficiently through five or six innings, Cleveland is well positioned to hand the game over to its late-inning relievers.

Backing Cleveland as at home is a value play built on the likelihood of a tightly contested game. Gilbert is the more accomplished starter, but Cecconi's steady command, respectable underlying numbers, and ability to generate ground balls help narrow the gap. With home-field advantage, a dependable bullpen, and an offense that excels in close, low-scoring contests, the Guardians have a legitimate opportunity to capitalize on plus-money odds and pull off the upset against Seattle.

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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Atlanta +115 over San Francisco

Bryce Elder (RHP - ATL) – 3.73 ERA vs. Logan Webb (RHP - SF) – 3.36 ERA

9:05 PM EST. Atlanta heads into San Francisco as a live dog, despite facing one of the National League's most consistent starters. Bryce Elder has quietly put together a very solid campaign, posting a 3.73 ERA across 94.2 innings while compiling a 5-5 record. His underlying numbers reinforce that success, as he owns a 3.47 xERA, 3.79 FIP, allows less than one home run per nine innings (0.95 HR/9), and generates a healthy 44.2% ground-ball rate. Elder isn't an overpowering strikeout pitcher at 7.51 K/9, but he limits damage with excellent command (2.76 BB/9) and consistently keeps Atlanta in games. Logan Webb has been excellent for San Francisco with a 3.36 ERA over 83.1 innings, backed by a 3.07 FIP, 2.16 BB/9, and an elite 51.7% ground-ball rate, but his modest 7.56 K/9 leaves little margin for error if Atlanta continues to put balls in play.

Atlanta's offense is built to challenge even quality pitching because of its ability to string together competitive at-bats throughout the lineup. Webb's ground-ball profile keeps him out of trouble most nights, but the Braves have enough right-handed power and veteran hitters capable of forcing mistakes when runners reach base. Elder has also shown the ability to neutralize contact by inducing weak grounders, and facing a Giants lineup that can become overly dependent on timely extra-base hits gives Atlanta an opportunity to control the pace if Elder works efficiently through the middle innings.

Backing Atlanta on the road comes down to value more than pitching superiority. Webb deserves favorite status, but Elder's numbers suggest the gap between these starters is much smaller than public perception indicates. Atlanta brings a balanced lineup, a starter with a sub-4.00 ERA supported by strong underlying metrics, and enough offensive upside to capitalize on limited scoring opportunities. If Elder continues limiting home runs while Atlanta scratches out early offense against Webb, the Braves have every opportunity to steal a low-scoring game and cash..

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Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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