Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.
Brooklyn +12½ -110 over San Antonio
7:30 PM EST Brooklyn getting double digits is the kind of ugly underdog that becomes playable strictly because of schedule, emotion, and pricing. San Antonio has ripped off 10 straight wins, so the market is going to tax you heavily to back them — their “stock” is through the roof right now. And it’s not like these were sleepy wins either. The Spurs just came off two emotionally charged games: Monday in Detroit (a statement win by double digits) and Wednesday vs Toronto, where they rallied from down 12 entering the fourth to steal a 110–107 win. That’s a lot of intensity, a lot of emotional juice, and a lot of mental focus spent in a short window.
Now look at the sandwich spot. San Antonio has New York at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, a nationally televised ABC 1:00 PM game — the kind of stage players circle. That creates a perfect setup for a classic “show up in body only” night in between, especially against a Brooklyn team that doesn’t scare anyone on paper. This is how favorites get overvalued: hot streak + public perception + recent highlight wins + a bigger game looming. You don’t need Brooklyn to be good — you need San Antonio to be a touch flat, a step slow, and less locked-in defensively for stretches.
And that’s where double digits becomes attractive. Brooklyn has been ripping up tickets all year, which is exactly why you’re getting a number this big. But big spreads aren’t only about who’s better — they’re about motivation, urgency, and pace of effort. This is a spot where Brooklyn can play free, play loose, and treat it like their “prove it” game while the Spurs are simply trying to get through the night and onto the Garden. San Antonio can still win — but Brooklyn can absolutely hang around inside this range. Take the points.
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Our Pick
Brooklyn +12½ -110 (Risking 2.2 units - To Win: 2.00)