Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Philadelphia +6 -110 over Charlotte

6:00 PM EST. This number certainly feels a little off in my opinion. You’ve got two teams playing similar brands of basketball, but one of them—Philadelphia —has quietly been finding a groove at the right time. They’re moving the ball, scoring efficiently, and when they get rolling offensively, they can hang with just about anyone. The issue with Philadelphia hasn’t been talent—it’s been consistency—but lately, they’ve looked a lot more locked in.

On the other side, the Hornets have been solid, especially defensively, but this is a bit of a step up in class from what they’ve been seeing. They do a great job limiting easy looks and controlling the glass, but they’re not exactly built to run teams out of the gym. If this turns into a half-court game—which it likely will—then you’re looking at a much tighter contest than the spread suggests.

What stands out here is the situational edge. Philadelphia has been the more reliable side in these spots, particularly when they come in with momentum and a bit of rest. Charlotte’s numbers look good on paper, but they’ve had issues separating from teams in this range, especially against opponents that can score in bunches. Getting points with the 76ers in a game that profiles as competitive from start to finish is the play. This feels like one that comes down to the final few possessions, making the cushion too good to pass up.

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