Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Portland + 11½ -110 over San Antonio

NBA Playoff Series Game 2

8:00 PM EST. Game 1 was not great for Portland, with the San Antonio Spurs controlling the tempo and eventually pulling away, but the final margin masks how competitive this was for long stretches. The Trail Blazers hung around into the second half despite shooting poorly from deep and getting minimal production beyond their top two scorers. That’s key, because those are the exact areas most likely to improve in Game 2. Portland generated enough looks and second-chance opportunities to suggest they can stay within range again—especially with their league-leading ability to create extra possessions on the offensive glass.

San Antonio’s strengths are real, particularly defensively and with their ability to close games, but this number is inflated based on a near-perfect script in the opener. Victor Wembanyama was dominant and the Spurs shot over 45 percent from three, which is not a sustainable combination night-to-night—even for an elite team. Meanwhile, Portland shot just 26 percent from beyond the arc and still wasn’t completely out of striking distance until late. When you see that kind of shooting disparity, it usually signals value on the underdog the next time out, especially when the line jumps into double digits.

The Blazers have quietly been a resilient team in these bounce-back spots, and players like Deni Avdija and Scoot Henderson give them enough offensive creation to keep things respectable. They don’t need to win this game outright—they just need to stay competitive, which they’ve shown they can do even when not playing their best. With expected shooting regression, strong rebounding, and a history of responding well after losses, Portland plus the points is the clear fade side in Game 2

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