Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Stanford -4 -110 over Hawaii

7:00 PM EST. This is a classic case of two programs whose stocks are moving in opposite directions. Hawaii enters 2026 with some shine after last year's breakthrough, including a victory over this same Stanford team, while the Cardinal remain an easy program for the market to dismiss. Stanford has endured several miserable seasons, another coaching transition and very little recent evidence suggesting bettors should be lining up to support them. That history matters because perception influences price, and right now Hawaii is the team getting the benefit of the doubt. We believe that creates an opportunity to buy Stanford before the market has a reason to believe in them again.

There are legitimate reasons to think the Cardinal are finally moving in the right direction. Tavita Pritchard takes over a program he knows intimately after spending the past three seasons coaching in the NFL, and Stanford has surrounded him with an experienced staff. More importantly, this isn't a complete teardown. Andrew Luck's fingerprints are increasingly on the program, Stanford retained a meaningful portion of last year's roster, and Michigan transfer Davis Warren gives the Cardinal an experienced option at quarterback. None of that guarantees an immediate transformation, but Stanford doesn't have to suddenly become an ACC contender to cash this ticket. It merely has to be considerably better than the version the market has grown accustomed to fading.

Hawaii's stock, meanwhile, is considerably healthier. The Warriors beat Stanford last season, are coming off a successful year and have earned the respect they're receiving. However, last year's meeting also provides some context that the final score doesn't. Stanford went into Honolulu and had every opportunity to win that game but failed to finish drives and lost many of the smaller battles that often decide close games. Now the venue flips to Palo Alto, Stanford gets another crack at the Warriors and the Cardinal do so with a new staff, a new quarterback and considerably more optimism internally than the outside perception of this program would suggest.

We're interested in buying teams before their improvement becomes obvious, not afterward when everybody else has noticed and the price has adjusted. Stanford's recent history has made the Cardinal undesirable, while Hawaii's recent success has made the Warriors considerably easier to endorse. That's precisely the disparity we're attacking. The market is still pricing Stanford largely on what it has been rather than what it might be becoming under Pritchard and Luck. We're willing to find out before everyone else does. Stanford -4 is the call.

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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Memphis +4½ -110 over UNLV

10:00 PM EST. Sometimes the handicap isn't about identifying the better team. It's about identifying what the market has already priced into that team, and UNLV might be carrying as much Week 0 enthusiasm as anyone on the board. Everywhere we look, it's Rebels, Rebels and more Rebels. Pick sheets, newsletters, publications and talking heads have seemingly arrived at the same conclusion: UNLV is the side. When an opinion becomes this comfortable and this widespread, our instinct isn't to join the party. It's to start looking at the price being offered on the other side.

There are legitimate reasons to like UNLV. Dan Mullen is entering his second season, the Rebels are at home and they've generated plenty of optimism with the talent they've brought into Las Vegas. We get it. The problem is that none of this is a secret. The market knows it, the betting public knows it and seemingly everybody handicapping the game knows it. At some point, all that enthusiasm gets baked into the number, and we believe that's exactly what has happened here. We're not being asked whether UNLV can win. We're being asked whether they're worthy of spotting Memphis 4½ points, and those are two very different questions.

Memphis comes into this game with far less certainty and virtually none of the hype. Charles Huff is taking over, the Tigers haven't publicly settled their quarterback situation and there are enough unknowns to make them an uncomfortable choice. Good. That's why we're getting the inflated number. UNLV has questions of its own, including uncertainty at quarterback and significant turnover, but those concerns are being largely dismissed while every Memphis question is being magnified. When one side of a matchup is being viewed almost exclusively through an optimistic lens and the other through a pessimistic one, value can show up quickly.

We're not interested in joining a crowded room at a bad price. Perhaps UNLV wins this game, but the Rebels have become such an obvious choice that we're being compensated to go the other way. Week 0 is filled with uncertainty, new personnel and teams still figuring out exactly what they have, which makes laying inflated points particularly unappealing. The entire world appears ready to crown UNLV before the season has even started. We'll gladly step aside, take the points and force the popular side to beat us. Memphis +4½ is the call.

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Bet365 Early Payout – How It Works

Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Virginia -3½ -110 over N.C. State

3:30 PM EST. Virginia gets the call here,. The Cavaliers are at home in a game that was originally supposed to be played in Brazil, and that change of venue is meaningful. Instead of dealing with a neutral international setting, Virginia gets the benefit of its own surroundings and the routine that comes with playing at home. That is a much different proposition for an opener, particularly with a veteran team that already understands what its coaching staff expects.

N.C.State deserves respect, but the market is making this look more complicated than it needs to be. The Wolfpack have enough talent to make this competitive, yet Virginia has considerably more continuity on its side. That matters early in the season, when execution and communication can be more important than raw talent. The Cavaliers have built this roster to compete right away, and we trust that experience to show once the game settles down.

We also aren't interested in making too much of the recent series results. The Wolfpack has enjoyed success in Charlottesville, but that doesn't automatically carry over to this matchup. Virginia has developed into a much tougher home team, and the combination of home field, continuity and coaching gives us enough confidence to spot the points.

The number is the final piece for us. We are getting Virginia at home in a favorable setup, and we don't see enough of an advantage on the N.C. State side to make us want to take the points. Virginia is the play tonight bercause we're getting them at a deflated price,

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer

Bet365 Early Payout – How It Works

Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Jacksonville St +6½ -110 over North Dakota State

5:30 PM EST. The number on Jacksonville State is telling us to take the obvious side and lay the points with North Dakota State in its first game as an FBS program. We are not buying it. This is exactly the type of opener where the market can place too much emphasis on the Bison name, the home crowd and the significance of the occasion. Jacksonville State has already established the type of program that travels well, plays with an edge and is comfortable in games that become physical and uncomfortable.

There is also a coaching and continuity angle that works in our favor. Jacksonville State is not walking into Fargo simply to participate in North Dakota State's FBS celebration. The Gamecocks have a returning quarterback who brings experience and mobility to an offense that should have enough structure to keep this game from getting away. That matters against a North Dakota State team introducing a new quarterback and replacing important pieces. The Bison may reload better than most programs, but reloading is not the same thing as having everything operating smoothly in Week 0.

We also expect Jacksonville State to embrace the underdog role. There is very little pressure on the Gamecocks compared with the expectations sitting on the home side. North Dakota State has the FBS debut, the home crowd and the history working in its favor, but all of that also creates expectations. Jacksonville State simply needs to stay within striking distance and make North Dakota State earn every possession. This is not a matchup where we need the Gamecocks to dominate; we need them to make the game competitive from start to finish.

The Bison may eventually prove they belong at the FBS level, but we are not prepared to pay the premium for that assumption tonight. Jacksonville State has enough experience, enough returning talent and enough toughness to make this a much closer contest than the market suggests. We are taking the points with JSU and expecting the Gamecocks to keep this one within the number.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer

Bet365 Early Payout – How It Works

Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

North Carolina +8½ -110 over TCU

12:00 PM EST. There probably isn't a team in college football carrying more baggage into Week 0 than North Carolina. The Bill Belichick experiment has produced plenty of headlines, much of them for the wrong reasons, and after a miserable first season and an embarrassing loss to TCU a year ago, enthusiasm surrounding the Tar Heels is understandably low. That's precisely what interests us. Belichick is not entering Year 1 here. This is Year 2, and while there has been plenty of chaos around the program, we're now being offered more than a touchdown on a team whose stock couldn't be much lower.

Last year's 48-14 loss to TCU is impossible for the market to completely ignore. It was ugly, memorable and exactly the type of result that gets carried forward into the price of the rematch. We have little interest in paying a premium for what happened a year ago. Both teams have changed considerably, both are breaking in new quarterbacks, and TCU has plenty of turnover of its own. Yet the Horned Frogs are being priced as though the gap between these programs remains enormous. We aren't convinced that's the case.

The setting adds another wrinkle. This isn't Fort Worth. It's Dublin, Ireland, where routine gets tossed out the window and preparation becomes increasingly important. For all the criticism directed toward Belichick and North Carolina, preparing a football team for an unusual environment is hardly something we're worried about with him. Furthermore, with all the noise surrounding the program, expectations are virtually nonexistent. North Carolina isn't being asked to prove that Belichick has suddenly fixed everything. The Tar Heels simply have to compete, and we're being handed 8½ points to find out.

This is ultimately a buy-low position on North Carolina. The ugly 2025 season, the blowout loss to this same opponent and the offseason chaos have combined to make the Tar Heels extremely easy to dismiss. That's usually when we're most interested. TCU may very well be the better team, but laying more than a touchdown on a neutral field with a Horned Frogs team undergoing significant changes of its own is asking too much. North Carolina's stock is in the gutter, last year's score is helping inflate this number and Belichick has now had a full season to establish his program. We don't need pretty. We need competitive. North Carolina +8½ is the call.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer

Bet365 Early Payout – How It Works

Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

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