NCAAF Free Picks for

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Northwestern +27 over Oregon
Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium – Evanston, IL
12:00 PM ET. Oregon has turned into the market’s darling overnight. Two weeks in, the Ducks have blown out Montana State and Oklahoma State, cashing tickets with ease while covering in this exact range. That has bettors lining up again, convinced the “Quack Attack” is steamrolling its way to No. 1.
On paper, Northwestern looks like another victim. They opened with a 20-point loss to Tulane before pasting Western Illinois, an FCS bottom feeder. Nothing in those results suggests the Wildcats belong on the same field as Oregon. That’s exactly the point.
This is a bad spot to be laying lumber. Oregon has already rewarded backers two weeks in a row, but now they fly cross-country for what amounts to a morning kickoff on their body clocks. Northwestern, meanwhile, had the luxury of a Friday game last week, granting them an extra prep day. Layer in the fact that Oregon has Oregon State on deck—a rivalry that always commands attention—and this game becomes little more than a business trip.
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Our Pick
Northwestern +27 -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
West Virginia +7½ over Pittsburgh
Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium – Morgantown, WV
3:30 PM ET. West Virginia spit the bit last week at Ohio. It wasn’t just a loss, it was ugly, and the market reacted. What opened at +4½ is now +7½, a full field goal of inflation based on one poor showing. That’s an overreaction.
This isn’t a random Week 3. This is the Backyard Brawl. Pitt and WVU don’t dislike each other — they hate each other. History says these games are knife fights, not blowouts.
Pitt is 2-0, but those wins came against Central Michigan and Duquesne at home. This is Morgantown. This is a hornet’s nest. Rivalries of this magnitude make records and form irrelevant, and asking the Panthers to cover north of a touchdown here is reckless. Wrong side favored. We’ll gladly take the inflated tag with the home dog.
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Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
West Virginia +7½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Miami -17½ over South Florida
Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, FL
4:30 PM ET. South Florida is the flavor of the week. Two ranked wins, national headlines, and the market can’t get enough. That’s why this number feels “too high.” It isn’t.
Boise State in Week One was a brand win, not a roster win. Florida in Week Two? Same story. The Gators coughed it up and were looking ahead to LSU. USF did its job, but circumstances drove the results more than dominance.
Now the Bulls are ranked #18 and catching nearly three scores against #5 Miami. That’s not disrespect — that’s the market telling you something. Oddsmakers don’t line a ranked team at +17½ unless they’re daring you to take the bait. That’s the trap. The Hurricanes are the side, and the number confirms it.
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Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Miami -17½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Florida International -2 over Florida Atlantic
Pitbull Stadium – Miami, FL
6:00 PM ET. The Shula Bowl has been one-way traffic. FAU has won seven straight, every one of them by blowout margins. Not close, not competitive. And yet here we are with FIU favored.
Despite being shut out by Penn State last week and despite a decade of futility in this rivalry, the Panthers are laying points. That’s not an accident. When the books flip a script like this, you pay attention.
This isn’t about stats or past meetings, it’s about the signal. FIU being chalk tells you everything you need to know. Rivalries flip when nobody expects it. Panthers finally punch back.
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Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Florida Intl -2 -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Georgia Southern -3 over Jacksonville State
Allen E. Paulson Stadium – Statesboro, GA
7:00 PM ET. Georgia Southern looks like garbage. Two games, two blowouts, 0-2 ATS. Jacksonville State, meanwhile, is the buy team — upset Liberty, pushed UCF, and 4-0 ATS dating back to last year. Every trend points to Jax State.
So why are the Eagles still favored? If perception were reality, the Gamecocks would be chalk. Instead, oddsmakers still demand you lay a field goal with a winless team. That’s your answer.
Favorites that “shouldn’t be favored” are often the strongest tells in this market. Buy low, sell high. Southern is the play.
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For straight bets,
Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Georgia Southern -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Temple +8 over Oklahoma
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, PA
12:00 PM ET. Oklahoma just got done with Tennessee, Auburn is on deck, and now they’re asked to fly to Philadelphia for Temple. That’s not a showcase — that’s a landmine. The Sooners’ only job here is to get in, get out, and survive without incident. Emotionally, it’s a flat spot.
Temple, meanwhile, gets the game circled in red ink. Undefeated, home under the lights, and a national blue blood walking into the Linc. For the Owls, this is their Super Bowl.
The market isn’t pricing the situation, it’s pricing the brand. Oklahoma’s helmet tax is built into this number. Temple is no pushover defensively, sitting top 20 nationally in opponent third-down conversions (31.7%), and their offense has been balanced and mistake-free. That’s the exact profile of a dog that lingers late and leaves the back door wide open.
Inflated number. Inflated team. Temple plus the points is the bet.
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For straight bets,
Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Temple +8 -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Central Michigan +27½ -110 over Michigan
Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, MI
Streaming: BIG-10 Network (BTN)
12:00 PM EST. Michigan comes into this one as a heavy favorite, but this is hardly the kind of spot that inspires confidence when laying a massive number. Interim coach Biff Poggi will be on the sideline while Sherrone Moore serves the first part of his suspension, which creates an unusual leadership gap for a program already under the microscope. Michigan is talented enough to overwhelm Central Michigan in the trenches, but the Wolverines’ track record as a big chalk in early-season, non-conference games is shaky at best. With Nebraska looming next week in a true Big Ten test, the question is whether Michigan is treating this game as a tune-up or a true measuring stick. That uncertainty creates risk for anyone backing the favorite at this inflated price.
Central Michigan, meanwhile, isn’t the pushover the number suggests. The Chippewas opened the year with an outright upset as a double-digit underdog and then battled Pitt closer than expected, trailing by only a touchdown late into the third quarter. They’ve shown resilience against stronger rosters and have the offensive balance to at least trade a few punches before Michigan’s depth wears them down. This is also a program that historically hasn’t been afraid to take big checks from Power 5 schools and still compete inside the number. Spot bettors know the Chippewas are 5-1 ATS when catching four-plus touchdowns, and they enter this matchup playing with house money.
The market is treating this like a Michigan blowout, but that creates value the other way. A distracted Wolverine squad with one eye on Nebraska is not an ideal candidate to cover a number north of three touchdowns. Central Michigan brings energy, confidence, and a proven track record of fighting above its weight class. Michigan will almost certainly win straight up, but the ATS angle favors the Chips to keep this closer than expected.
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For straight bets,
Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Applies to parlays and Same Game Parlays
Our Pick
Central Michigan +27½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Delaware +8 -110 over Connecticut
Delaware Stadium, Newark, DE
Streaming: ESPN+
3:00 PM EST. UConn’s improvement under Jim Mora Jr. has been noticeable, but the Huskies enter this week in as difficult a scheduling and psychological spot as you’ll find. Last week’s collapse at Syracuse wasn’t just a loss — it was a soul-crusher. UConn controlled nearly every key stat, committing no turnovers, limiting penalties, and holding the Orange to just 1.5 yards per carry. Yet somehow, after leading by double digits with under six minutes left, they folded and lost in overtime. That type of defeat cuts deeper than a routine loss; it erodes belief. Teams often talk about “finishing,” and when you blow a game you’ve dominated, the film room becomes a replay of missed chances and squandered effort. The mental bruise of a defeat like that often lingers into the next week, and the fact that UConn must immediately hit the road amplifies the challenge. This is not a team returning home to reset; this is a team asked to pick itself up off the mat and face a highly motivated underdog on the road.
Delaware is exactly the type of opponent you don’t want to see in this spot. The Blue Hens are treating this like their Super Bowl — the program’s first-ever FBS vs. FBS home game. The crowd will be energized, the players will be fueled by history, and the staff will have circled this date for months. And while their 31–7 loss at Colorado looks ugly, the underlying numbers tell a different story: Delaware actually gained more yards per play than the Buffaloes. That means they moved the ball effectively against a far more talented roster, and with the advantage of home field, they can absolutely replicate that production against a UConn team still reeling. Delaware’s style is particularly dangerous here: they’re a disciplined group that leans on balance and special teams, traits that shorten games and keep underdogs within striking distance. Against a favorite vulnerable to a letdown, that’s a recipe for value.
This is why situational handicapping matters. Not every bad loss translates into a fade, but some do — and UConn’s loss to Syracuse checks all the boxes of a demoralizer. They blew a lead against a local rival in heartbreaking fashion, they must regroup quickly without the benefit of home comfort, and now they face an opponent brimming with motivation and historical significance. Delaware is not just “another MAC team” or “an easy rebound spot.” They’re a capable program with a live crowd behind them, facing a favorite that has every reason to come in flat. From a betting perspective, Delaware plus the points is the side with value. The Huskies may still find a way to win straight up, but all the situational arrows point to the Hens being the smarter wager.
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For straight bets,
Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Delaware +8 -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Western Michigan +27½ over Illinois
Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL Streaming: FS1
7:00 PM EST. Illinois has jumped out to a strong start and earned national recognition with its early blowouts, but this week’s matchup is a classic case of perception outpacing reality. The Illini put up gaudy point totals, but those results were aided by opponents’ turnovers and sloppy second-half play rather than four quarters of dominance. Their offensive line is still giving up sacks, and the Big Ten opener at Indiana is looming just around the corner. That makes this the ultimate “look-ahead” spot, and history shows Illinois has rarely been trustworthy as a large favorite in non-conference games. Asking them to cover nearly three touchdowns against a feisty MAC opponent feels like more of a stretch than the number suggests.
Western Michigan doesn’t have a flashy offense, but what they do bring is discipline, defensive structure, and a special teams unit that can tilt the field. Broncos punter Ryan Millmore has already been a difference-maker, routinely flipping field position and forcing opponents to drive long distances. Against North Texas, WMU trusted its defense so much that it punted from the opponent’s 33-yard line — a sign of a team that knows its strengths and embraces an ugly, grind-it-out style of play. That same approach travels well as a heavy underdog, particularly against a favorite that’s unlikely to fully empty the playbook in this spot.
The last time these teams met in 2016, Western Michigan didn’t just cover — they dominated Illinois outright, winning by 24 while outgaining them by more than 120 yards. While the programs have shifted since then, the core principle remains: Illinois is not built to steamroll opponents as a big favorite, while WMU thrives in the underdog role. The Broncos bring enough defensive resistance and situational value to keep this one inside the number. The play is Western Michigan plus the points.
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For straight bets,
Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Western Michigan +27½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Southern Miss +145 ML over Appalachian State
M.M. Roberts Stadium – Hattiesburg, MS
7:00 PM ET. App State has a brand, and bettors pay a premium to back it. That’s what’s happening here. Wins over Charlotte and Lindenwood don’t prove anything, but the logo on the helmet keeps drawing money.
Southern Miss is building. Charles Huff came over from Marshall and brought a roster that knows how to win. They showed it in spurts against Mississippi State in Week One before falling apart late, then took care of business against Jackson State. Not flashy, but signs of progress.
The market opened App State as chalk, got hammered with Mountaineer money, and left us with USM at plus money in what looks like a coin flip. Brand bias inflates the line. Wrong side favored. Southern Miss outright.
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Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Southern Miss +145 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.90)

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change
Texas A&M +205 ML over Notre Dame
Notre Dame Stadium – South Bend, IN
7:30 PM ET. Last year, A&M let one slip at home against Notre Dame, and that result defined both seasons. The Irish rode it all the way to the title game, while the Aggies fell short of Atlanta. Now they get their shot at revenge.
Notre Dame is still the market darling after an 11-game ATS tear last season. A&M is the market pariah after seven straight non-covers. Two polar opposite betting profiles. So why is this number still under +7? If Notre Dame were truly untouchable, the Aggies would be catching more.
We don’t play narratives, we play numbers. The line says A&M is live here. Forget the points. Aggies outright.
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For straight bets,
Football if the team you back to win goes up 17 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Hockey: if the team you back to win goes up 4 goals at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
BASEBALL: if the team you back to win goes 5 runs ahead at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
Basketball: if the team you back to win goes up 21 points at any stage during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full regardless of whether the opposition comes back to win the game.
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Our Pick
Texas A&M +205 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.10)
NCAAF Historical - Totals
Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Yesterday | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Last 30 Days | 12 | 16 | 0.00 | -5.10 |
Season to Date | 12 | 16 | 0.00 | -5.10 |