Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Josh Allen u226.5 Passing Yards

1:00 PM ET. Reputation is doing most of the pricing. Buffalo does not need Allen to throw for volume here, and historically they’ve been perfectly comfortable shifting into a run-heavy, clock-control script when game flow allows it. Allen’s efficiency can still be there without the yardage piling up, especially if New England forces shorter throws and keeps everything in front. Add in Buffalo’s willingness to lean on the ground game near midfield and protect leads rather than chase explosive numbers, and this line starts to feel inflated. Allen can play a clean, winning football game and still land comfortably under this number, which is exactly why the under holds value.

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