Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Philip Rivers 2 or more Touchdowns +550

4:05 PM ET. This is the kind of number that exists because the market is laughing a little too hard at the situation. Yes, this is an emergency start. Yes, the jokes write themselves. That’s exactly why the price is bloated. Indianapolis didn’t bring Rivers back to hand the ball off 40 times and hope for punts — they brought him in because he can still diagnose defenses, get the ball out quickly, and operate in the red zone. Touchdowns are about timing and decision-making, not arm strength, and Rivers has made a career out of stealing six points from inside the 10. If the Colts get into scoring position a few times, the idea that Rivers finds the end zone twice through the air is far more realistic than this number suggests. At +550, this isn’t about certainty — it’s about a mispriced ceiling.

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