Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Sam Darnold over 0.5 Interceptions +115

4:05 PM ET. The market is pricing the best-case version of Darnold and ignoring how this game is likely to be played. Seattle wants to lean on defense and field position, but that script tends to crack once they’re forced into obvious passing situations — and Darnold has always been vulnerable when reads speed up. Even last week’s clean box score came with multiple throws that easily could’ve been picked if Minnesota hadn’t dropped them. Atlanta’s defense isn’t elite, but it is aggressive, ball-hawking and perfectly willing to bait quarterbacks into late throws over the middle. One tipped ball, one forced third-and-long, one “I can fit this” attempt is all it takes. At plus money, we’re not asking for a meltdown — just one Darnold moment, and history says that’s rarely a long wait.

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