Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Seattle -3½ -110 over Dallas

8:00 PM EST. Seattle is the side we want to back at home against Dallas, and this is less about what happened last season and more about the way this Seahawks organization has built itself. There is a physical edge to Seattle when they play in their own building, and that is exactly the kind of environment where a team like Dallas can get pushed around. The Seahawks play with confidence, they are comfortable dictating the pace, and they have the kind of overall team identity that makes them a tough opponent when they have the home crowd behind them.

What we like most here is Seattle’s ability to make this a complete football game. They do not need everything to go perfectly to control the matchup. The Seahawks can lean on their ground attack, stay patient offensively and force Dallas to earn everything it gets. That approach becomes even more valuable in a preseason setting, where rhythm and execution can disappear quickly. Seattle has enough depth and enough competition throughout the roster to keep the pressure on well after the opening portion of the game.

Dallas is a recognizable name, but that does not make them the better bet in this spot. We expect Seattle to be the more organized and physical team from start to finish, particularly once the game settles into its second half. The Seahawks have the advantage of playing at home, and we expect their depth to show as the night moves along. This is a spot where we would rather lay a small number with the home team than get cute trying to find value on the Cowboys.

The play is Seattle to cover. We expect the Seahawks to take control, play their game and finish strong enough to get the job done. Lay the small price with Seattle and look for the home side to cash the ticket.

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