Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Vegas -1.5 +205 over Anaheim

9:30 PM EST Vegas enters this matchup in a rare spot where recent results have pushed the price in a favorable direction, creating value on a team whose overall profile remains stronger than Anaheim’s. While the Golden Knights have dropped several close games lately, their underlying play has not fallen off to the extent the win-loss record suggests. They continue to control shot volume, generate quality looks, and stay competitive in tight contests, even during this skid. Anaheim, meanwhile, is returning home after a difficult road stretch where momentum clearly stalled, and while the Ducks remain in the playoff mix, their defensive inconsistencies have surfaced again when facing higher-end competition.

From a matchup standpoint, Vegas holds key advantages that should matter in a divisional meeting like this. The Golden Knights bring more offensive depth and are better equipped to respond if the game opens up, with multiple lines capable of sustaining pressure. Anaheim has relied heavily on strong goaltending to mask defensive lapses, and while Lukas Dostal has been solid, asking him to consistently bail the team out against a possession-heavy opponent is a risky formula. Vegas has also shown the ability to dictate pace against Anaheim in previous meetings, and their struggles in those games came more from missed chances than structural issues.

The value angle is rooted in timing and perception. Vegas is being discounted due to a short-term slump despite maintaining a strong season-long profile, while Anaheim’s recent surge earlier this month still lingers in the market’s memory. That imbalance presents an opportunity to back the more complete team at a reasonable price. In a matchup where execution, depth, and special teams could swing the outcome, Vegas is better positioned to assert control over 60 minutes. Vegas to win outright offers value based on talent edge, regression toward form, and market overreaction, making the Golden Knights the preferred side tonight.

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