Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Buffalo +100 over Florida

7:00 PM EST. Despite sitting behind Buffalo in the standings and dealing with a growing list of injuries, the Panthers are priced as if they’re the more stable team simply because they’re at home. Buffalo, meanwhile, has quietly built one of the stronger résumés in the Atlantic, combining offensive efficiency with dependable goaltending and a clear identity late in games. When a team with the better record, better goal differential, and better recent form is offered at plus money or near even odds, that discrepancy is where value bettors should focus.

The Sabres’ edge becomes even clearer when looking at how they win games. Buffalo has been elite when playing from in front, showing the ability to protect leads and close games without turning them into track meets. Their goaltending has stabilized, and their blue line — led by Rasmus Dahlin — has done an excellent job limiting second chances and controlling exits. Offensively, Buffalo doesn’t rely on a single scorer, which makes them far more resilient against teams missing key defensive pieces. Florida’s recent losses have followed a similar pattern: close games where injuries thin their margin and late mistakes get punished. Against a disciplined Sabres team, that margin shrinks even further.

From a betting perspective, Buffalo is the sharper side because the market is slow to adjust to Florida’s injury-driven decline and Buffalo’s consistency. The Panthers may compete, but asking a short-handed roster to consistently beat a deeper, healthier opponent isn’t a profitable long-term bet — especially when the price doesn’t reflect those realities. Buffalo doesn’t need to dominate possession or win in flashy fashion; they simply need to play their structured game, get competent goaltending, and capitalize on Florida’s limited scoring depth. When weighing current form, roster health, and situational context, Buffalo to win outright stands out as a value play rather than a narrative-driven pick.

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