Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Seattle +115 over St. Louis

8:00 PM EST We’re going right back to the same post-break theory and backing the Seattle Kraken on the money line  in St. Louis. Seattle played last night in Dallas and came out flat in a 4–1 loss — and we were on them. If there was value in that spot, there’s arguably more value here. Teams playing their second game after a long break are often sharper than teams stepping back into action cold. The first game back is about timing and legs. The second game is where rhythm starts to return. Seattle now enters this matchup re-acclimated to NHL pace, which is a significant edge over a Blues team that hasn’t played in weeks.

St. Louis, meanwhile, returns from the Olympic break in complete transition mode. They’ve lost eight of their last nine (1-7-1) and trade rumors are swirling. Robert Thomas is away, Justin Faulk’s name is circulating, Brayden Schenn is questionable, Oskar Sundqvist has been absent, and new pieces are being shuffled in. That’s not stability — that’s distraction. Joel Hofer is expected to start over Jordan Binnington, and lineup uncertainty continues across the roster. This is not a team you want to lay a price with. In fact, this is the definition of a bad favorite — a struggling club with off-ice noise, injury questions, and no recent game rhythm.

Seattle, on the other hand, is in the playoff fight and got healthier coming out of the break. They’ve already won in St. Louis this season (4-3 OT on Nov. 8), and Philipp Grubauer is likely to get the start after Joey Daccord went last night. Motivation, structure, and rhythm all point toward the Kraken having the edge in this spot. If we’re applying the same angle consistently, this is another value opportunity: a team already back in competitive flow against a Blues squad that looks unsettled and flat. Take Seattle at plus money

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