Today's Free Picks for
Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.
Philadelphia +125 over Pittsburgh
NHL Playoff Series Game 27:00 PM EST. Game 1 told us plenty. Philadelphia didn’t just survive — they controlled stretches of that game, built a 3-1 lead, and held an edge in key analytical categories, including time of possession in the offensive zone at 5-on-5. That’s not noise. That’s a team that came into a hostile building and dictated the terms for long segments of the night. The final score was close, but the Flyers were the better side for much of it.
Now the market reacts the way it always does. Pittsburgh loses at home, and the assumption is automatic: they’ll fix it, they’ll adjust, they’ll be better. That belief gets baked into the number before a single puck is dropped in Game 2. Name recognition, home ice, and brand power still carry weight, especially in a rivalry series where the public expects a response.
But this series is not being played on reputation. It’s being played shift by shift, and Philadelphia showed in Game 1 that they can skate with Pittsburgh, hit with them, and control play against them. The Flyers’ young core didn’t look overwhelmed — they looked comfortable. That changes the equation, because once a young team realizes it belongs, the matchup becomes far more even than perception suggests.
So when a team wins the opener on the road, shows it can control possession, and is still being offered at plus money in the very next game, that’s not something we ignore. That’s a number worth stepping into, not because of emotion, not because of momentum, but because the price still hasn’t fully caught up to the reality on the ice.
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Our Pick
Philadelphia +125 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.50)