Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Minnesota -1½ +195 over Dallas

NHL Playoff Series Game 3

9:30 PM EST. Game 2 showed the resilience of the Dallas Stars, but Game 3 sets up as a completely different challenge with the series shifting to Minnesota. The Minnesota Wild were in position to take full control of this matchup before letting it slip, and now they return home where this series has historically leaned heavily toward the host. Minnesota has been one of the more reliable home sides in this matchup, and their overall profile backs it up—a top-tier power play, a disciplined defensive structure, and a team that knows how to close games when playing with a lead.

What stands out most is Minnesota’s balance. With elite production from Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy, the Wild can generate offense in multiple ways, and their power play remains a major weapon—ranking among the league’s best. That’s a key edge against a Dallas team that, while strong defensively, has shown vulnerability when games open up or when they’re forced to chase. The Stars did a better job limiting chances in Game 2, but Minnesota still generated opportunities and simply failed to convert, particularly on the man advantage. That’s an area where regression should favor the Wild on home ice.

In goal, the matchup is tighter than it looks, but Minnesota may have the edge in this spot. Jesper Wallstedt has been quietly consistent with strong underlying numbers and a high quality start rate, while Jake Oettinger, despite his bounce-back effort, has shown occasional inconsistency when facing sustained pressure. Combine that with Minnesota’s ability to dictate pace at home and their tendency to finish strong in the third period, and this shapes up as a game where the Wild can control the script. With plus money attached to the puck line, backing Minnesota to not only win but do so by margin is a high-value play in Game 3.

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