Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Paraguay  +137 over USA(Tie No Bet)

9:00 PM EST. The United States will enjoy the support of a home crowd and the spotlight that comes with hosting a World Cup, but that doesn't automatically make them the right side. The betting market has been generous to the Americans throughout the build-up to this tournament, yet Paraguay arrives as one of the most difficult teams in the field to break down. This is a disciplined, patient group that rarely beats itself and is comfortable allowing opponents to have possession while waiting for mistakes.

Paraguay's path through South American qualifying was built on structure, organization, and defensive commitment. They don't need to dominate the ball to be effective, and they have repeatedly shown they can frustrate more talented opponents. In tournament football, matches are often decided by a single chance, a set piece, or a defensive lapse. Paraguay excels in exactly those types of games, which makes them a dangerous underdog against a United States side facing enormous expectations.

The beauty of the tie-no-bet option is that it removes much of the risk associated with backing a defensive underdog in a World Cup opener. Paraguay doesn't need to chase the match and would likely be satisfied keeping things level deep into the second half. If the Americans fail to find an early breakthrough, the pressure from a home crowd can quickly become a burden. At plus money with the draw refunded, Paraguay offers the value side in what projects to be a far more competitive match than the odds suggest.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer

Bet365 Early Payout – How It Works

Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------