Bookmaker    +120

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

The Athletics +120 over Detroit

Sutter Health Park – Sacramento, CA

10:00 PM ET. Let’s be clear — this has nothing to do with Oakland’s record, their stadium relocation, or their place in the standings. The A’s could be dead last and it still wouldn’t matter. This is a pure spot play against Charlie Morton.

Morton shouldn’t be favored over anybody in this kind of environment. He’s sporting a 5.09 ERA, a 1.47 WHIP, and a hard-hit rate over 40%. His SIERA tells the truth — it’s also 5.09, meaning what you see is what you get. He’s a name. Nothing more.

Now drop him into a high-octane park with a total set at 11.5. That number tells the story. It’s a hitter’s game tonight, and Morton’s the wrong profile to survive it.

Oakland may be flawed, but they rake at home. A .261 average, 180 bombs, top five in slugging and OPS. Quietly, this lineup is dangerous — especially when they see meatballs like Morton’s hanging 89 over the middle.

We’re fading a bloated favorite, riding the spot, and trusting the math. Morton’s cooked. The market just hasn’t caught on yet.

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