Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Cleveland -1½   +160 over Kansas City

Progressive Field – Cleveland, OH

Atlanta-1½ +120 over Chicago Cubs

Truist Park – Atlanta, GA

7:15 PM ET. Atlanta’s season is dead, Chicago’s bound for October — yet the Cubs aren’t being given full chalk treatment here. Why? Christopher Sale.

Sale has been lights-out: 2.38 ERA, 2.85 xERA, 2.60 FIP, over 11 strikeouts per nine. His record doesn’t pop because the Chops can’t score for him, but he’s been shoving every fifth day. Compare that to Jameson Taillon, who’s been surviving on smoke and mirrors: 4.15 ERA, 5.02 FIP, 0.5 WAR, and a fluky .233 BABIP keeping his surface stats afloat. One profile screams dominance; the other screams regression.

The Cubs may be postseason-bound, but baseball doesn’t care about narratives. This matchup is ace vs. placeholder, and the line is inviting us to step into the better arm at a plus-money margin. We’re in.

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