Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Miami -1½ +115 over Colorado

Ryan Gusto (RHP - MIA, 4.50 ERA)Michael Lorenzen (RHP - COL, 6.97 ERA)

3:10 PM EST. The Miami Marlins are in an excellent position to cover the run line on the road behind Ryan Gusto, who has shown the ability to miss bats and limit damage when he's around the strike zone. While his 4.50 ERA is modest, Gusto has flashed quality swing-and-miss stuff and now gets a favorable matchup against a Colorado lineup that has struggled to consistently produce against right-handed pitching. Miami enters this game playing some of its best baseball of the season, winning 10 of its last 12 games while posting an outstanding .867 OPS since June 17. That recent offensive surge has been fueled by improved plate discipline, timely power, and consistent production throughout the lineup, making the Marlins one of the hottest offenses in baseball entering this matchup.

Colorado will hand the ball to Michael Lorenzen, whose season has been a difficult one despite some signs of improvement in recent outings. Lorenzen enters with a 6.97 ERA and has struggled to consistently keep hitters off the barrel, while opponents have also benefited from an elevated .381 batting average on balls in play (BABIP). Although that number suggests he's experienced some poor luck, pitching at Coors Field leaves little room for mistakes, especially against a Miami lineup that has been driving the baseball with authority. The Marlins' recent offensive form makes this an especially difficult assignment, as their combination of contact hitting and extra-base power can quickly turn baserunners into crooked numbers in baseball's most hitter-friendly park.

Miami has all the ingredients to create separation in this matchup. The Marlins are swinging the bats with confidence, their offense has been among the league's hottest over the past two weeks, and they face a Colorado starter carrying an ERA near seven in a ballpark that consistently favors hitters. With the Marlins entering on a 10-2 run, producing one of the best team OPS marks in baseball during that stretch, and holding the edge in both recent form and offensive momentum, they are well-positioned to beat them by multiple runs and leave Colorado with another convincing road victory.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer

Bet365 Early Payout – How It Works

Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------