Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

New York +120 over Philadelphia

Christian Scott (RHP – New York) – 3.17 ERA

Aaron Nola (RHP – Philadelphia) – 5.75 ERA

7:10 PM EST. The last time Christian Scott took the mound against Philadelphia, he walked away with a victory after helping the Mets to a 6-2 win. The young right-hander showed no signs of being intimidated by one of the National League's top lineups, striking out six Phillies hitters while keeping the damage to a minimum. Scott has quietly put together an impressive campaign with a 3.17 ERA, a 2-1 record, 65 strikeouts, and a respectable 1.30 WHIP, while continuing to give New York quality innings every fifth day.

On the other side, Aaron Nola simply hasn't resembled the frontline starter Philadelphia has counted on for years. The veteran right-hander enters this matchup with a 5.75 ERA and has struggled to keep the ball in the yard and pitch deep into games consistently. Philadelphia has dropped several of his recent starts, including a lopsided loss to Detroit before the All-Star break, and opposing offenses have been making him work from the opening inning. If New York can continue its patient approach at the plate, there's every reason to believe the Mets can create scoring opportunities early and put pressure on a Phillies bullpen that has been forced to cover extra outs behind Nola.

This price feels like it's based more on the teams' records rather than the pitching matchup. Philadelphia has been the better club overall, but this is a one-game wager, not a season-long investment. Scott has already proven he can navigate this lineup, while Nola has yet to show the consistency bettors expect from a favorite. Road underdogs become attractive when they own the edge on the mound, and that's exactly the case here. Back New York and take advantage of the superior starting pitching,to  steal the opener in Philadelphia, and deliver another upset behind Scott's steady right arm.

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