Posted at 11AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Charlotte +6 @ Orlando

7:00PM EST Charlotte catching points in this matchup offers value largely because Orlando continues to be priced as a more stable team than it has actually been. The Magic’s season has been defined by inconsistency, and their inability to build momentum from game to game makes it difficult to justify laying multiple possessions. Coming off an overseas trip only adds another layer of uncertainty, as teams often struggle to reestablish rhythm immediately after international travel. While Orlando has more top-end talent, their offensive efficiency fluctuates heavily, and they rely too much on stretches of defensive success to separate from opponents — a risky profile when favored by this margin.

Charlotte, meanwhile, is far more competitive than its record suggests, particularly on the offensive end. The Hornets can score with anyone when shots are falling, ranking among the league’s better teams in points per possession, and that offensive ceiling is exactly what keeps them live as underdogs. Even on the second night of a back-to-back, Charlotte showed resilience by cutting into a large deficit against Cleveland rather than folding. Games involving the Hornets often stay closer than expected because their scoring bursts can erase gaps quickly, especially if LaMelo Ball regresses positively after an abnormally poor shooting performance.

The value in Charlotte comes from volatility working in the underdog’s favor. Orlando’s offense is still searching for consistency, and while the return of Franz Wagner raises their ceiling, it doesn’t immediately fix execution issues. The Hornets don’t need to be the better team to cash this number — they simply need to stay within striking distance, something they’ve done frequently when facing teams with uneven form. With Orlando adjusting post-travel and Charlotte capable of pushing pace and generating offense in bunches, taking the points is a bet on variance and matchup uncertainty rather than trusting a favorite that hasn’t shown it can consistently pull away.

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