Posted at 10:00AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Charlotte +150 over San Antonio

12:00PM EST Charlotte enters this matchup playing its best basketball of the season, and the market has not fully caught up to just how significant that improvement has been. The Hornets are riding a five-game winning streak built on balance, effort, and defensive engagement, not just hot shooting nights. During this stretch, Charlotte has been controlling games with pace and physicality, particularly on the glass, where they continue to rank among the league’s better rebounding teams. That consistency has quietly put them back into the playoff conversation, and with confidence growing on both ends of the floor, this is a team that is no longer priced like a fringe opponent — yet the betting line still suggests otherwise.

The matchup itself supports Charlotte’s case. The Hornets have been far more efficient offensively in recent weeks, moving the ball well and converting at a high rate while limiting mistakes. Their ability to rebound and create second-chance opportunities is especially important against a Spurs team that can be inconsistent defensively for long stretches. While San Antonio has high-end talent, they’ve struggled to maintain intensity across full games, often allowing opponents to dictate tempo and capitalize during key runs. Charlotte’s recent defensive form has also been underrated, as they’ve consistently held opponents below their season averages and forced them into uncomfortable half-court possessions.

From a value standpoint, Charlotte stands out as the more reliable side right now. The Hornets have been outperforming expectations nightly, while San Antonio’s recent results suggest volatility rather than momentum. Even when the Spurs win, they’ve often needed late surges or standout individual performances to get there, which is a risky profile to trust on the road. Charlotte’s cohesion, rebounding edge, and upward trend make them well-positioned to capitalize at home. With form, matchup dynamics, and effort all pointing in the same direction, Charlotte to win outright offers strong value, making the Hornets the preferred side tonight.

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