Posted at 9:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Eastern Washington +130 over Cal Baptist

9:00 PM ET. This is a classic résumé-versus-record spot, and the market is leaning way too heavily on the latter. Eastern Washington has been living in the deep end of the pool all season, playing the 62nd-ranked schedule on KenPom, while Cal Baptist has been fattening up against the 206th-ranked schedule out of 365 Division I teams. That gap matters. A lot. Eastern Washington has already been stress-tested against teams that punish mistakes, defend multiple actions, and force you to execute late in possessions. Cal Baptist simply hasn’t faced that level of week-to-week resistance.

When two teams look similar in the box score, we default to who’s been better prepared for adversity, and that points squarely to the Eagles. Eastern Washington has shown it can survive physical games, scoring droughts, and hostile stretches without unraveling. Cal Baptist has been allowed to play clean, comfortable basketball, and now they’re stepping up several weight classes at once. This profiles far closer to an Eastern Washington win than the market is admitting. Numbers over names, schedule over optics — Eagles are the side.

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