Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Kansas +110 over Arizona

9 PM EST This matchup between Arizona and Kansas is being framed as a clash of rankings and undefeated records, but from a betting perspective, the value lies squarely with the home underdog. Arizona deserves every bit of praise it’s getting after a perfect start to the season, but this is easily its most demanding spot yet. Allen Fieldhouse remains one of the toughest environments in college basketball, and Kansas has already shown this season that its ceiling rises significantly at home. The Jayhawks have won seven straight games and are battle-tested in Big 12 play, while Arizona now has to handle a late tip, a hostile crowd, and the pressure of keeping a perfect season intact. Oddsmakers installing Kansas as a short home underdog suggests this game is far closer than rankings alone would imply.

On the floor, Kansas matches up better than expected. The Jayhawks don’t rely on pace or perimeter shooting to win, which is important against an Arizona team that thrives on athleticism and efficiency. Kansas can slow the game, defend inside, and make Arizona work on every possession. Flory Bidunga has emerged as a legitimate interior anchor, and his ability to protect the rim and control the glass could neutralize Arizona’s rebounding edge. Kansas also has more lineup flexibility and experience in close, high-pressure games, something Arizona hasn’t truly been forced into yet. While the Wildcats have blown teams out, they haven’t had to execute late in a hostile road environment against a disciplined, physical opponent like Kansas.

From a value standpoint, Kansas at plus points — and even on the moneyline — is the sharper side. This line is heavily influenced by Arizona’s undefeated record rather than situational factors, and those spots often create opportunity. Kansas doesn’t need to dominate to cash here; they simply need to do what they’ve done all season at home: defend, rebound, and turn the game into a half-court battle. With Arizona likely to face its stiffest test of the year and Kansas playing with nothing to lose, the Jayhawks are in an ideal position to spring the upset. In a game that profiles as tight and physical throughout, backing Kansas to win outright offers strong value

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