Bookmaker   +6½ -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

New England +6½ over New York Giants

MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, NJ

7:00 PM ET. The Giants are 2-0 in the preseason. Their quarterback room is crowded, and everyone’s fighting for a roster spot. They just thumped the Jets, and Brian Daboll is apparently coaching like these games matter. Now they’re spotting nearly a converted touchdown to a Patriots team that might not be flashy but sure as hell is live in a meaningless game like this one.

Let’s be clear: this isn’t about the Pats being good. It’s about what this number represents — hype, headlines, and preseason hysteria. The Giants have turned Jaxson Dart’s statline into gospel, while the market conveniently forgets that preseason football is chaos, and backups play backups, and starters play six snaps, and no one really knows what anyone’s motivation is.

We know what this line is not based on: Bill Belichick. Because if Belichick were still here, the Patriots would be -3 in this spot. But now it’s Jerod Mayo, and that comes with market skepticism. But Mayo has followed the same Belichick blueprint so far — keep things quiet, win ugly, and evaluate deep into the roster. Dobbs is competent, Wooldridge can manage, and Maye? He may not even dress, and it doesn’t matter. This isn’t about star power — this is about structure, reps, and depth. The Pats have been organized and efficient. That gets you in the end zone in Week 3 of preseason more often than some kid going 14-for-16 in garbage time.

The Giants are deeper at QB, yes. But 6½ points? That’s a truckload for a game that doesn’t count. New England has shown up in both preseason contests, and we’re being asked to ignore that because of Jameis Winston and Tommy DeVito?

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