Minnesota @ Tennesse
Tennessee -4½ -110 over Minnesota

Bookmaker    -4½ -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Tennessee -4½ over Minnesota

Nissan Stadium – Nashville, TN

8:00 PM ET. Let’s be honest — few want to spot more than a field goal in a preseason game. That’s usually a losing proposition-usually, but this isn’t your usual August spot. This is one team quietly building something worth watching, and another just trying to survive a soft rebuild without getting anyone hurt. The Titans are live here, even laying the lumber.

Cam Ward has already shown flashes. The raw numbers are irrelevant — 7-for-15 tells you nothing about the velocity, the confidence, the downfield intention. Ward has a cannon, and he’s not scared to use it. More importantly, he’s pushing for a job. That’s all we care about. Backing quarterbacks playing for a paycheck > fading the ones just getting reps.

The Titans have been pedestrian on the ground, yes, but we’re not looking for a dominant trench effort — we’re looking for playmakers to separate. The arrow is pointing up on this offense, particularly the passing game, and if Tennessee leans into Ward, they’ll stretch the field vertically, which gives them a chance to separate on the scoreboard.

The Vikings are throwing Max Brosmer into the fire. He’s been getting a lot of camp buzz, but that doesn’t mean much here. Brosmer was a feel-good story out of the University of Minnesota, but now he’s facing live bullets against a defense that has something to prove. Minnesota’s offensive line depth is thin, and Brosmer will likely be running for his life.

Minnesota also dealt Harrison Phillips this week — a signal that the front office isn’t prioritizing these August reps. While undrafted DT Elijah Williams has impressed, he’ll be leaned on far too much against a Titans unit that will be scheming looks for Ward and DiCecco to test the edge.

If we’re being technical, the Titans haven’t covered either of their first two preseason games despite being favored. That’s baked into the line. But both games had fluky elements — a pick-six, a red zone stall, a busted coverage — and none of that reflects the opportunity for growth as the depth chart settles. This is a coaching staff that wants to see improvement heading into Week 1, and they’re treating this one like a real audition.

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Our Pick

Tennessee -4½ -110 (Risking 2.20 units - To Win: 2.00)

Early Leans & Analysis