Bookmaker    +3 -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Washington +3 over Baltimore

M&T Bank Stadium – Baltimore, MD

12:00 PM ET. The Ravens are getting credit here for doing what they always do in August — looking competent, organized, and defensively sound, but there’s a catch. This isn’t your typical Ravens preseason buzz. This is a line baked into public perception — not performance. Baltimore hasn’t covered either of their first two exhibition games, and we’re seeing signs that their edge in preparation is eroding.

Yes, they controlled the ball last week. Yes, they ran it 39 times. And yes, their defense swarmed Dallas. But they still didn’t cover. That matters. Because preseason value lies in the margins, not the scoreboard. What we saw from Baltimore was a grind — not dominance.

Now enter Washington, who has looked every bit like a team in flux. Sloppy. Penalties. Turnovers. Misfires. But none of that disqualifies them in this spot. In fact, it sets the table. The Commanders are 0-2 in the preseason and catching a full field goal here — which presents a classic market overreaction to early preseason results.

Let’s not forget that these are backup-vs-backup matchups. And despite the noise about Sam Hartman struggling, Washington has real motivation to give their QB3 reps. That may sound like a red flag, but we see it differently. It means game reps. It means live bullets. And it means a full playbook — not a neutered, run-heavy script like what Baltimore ran last week. There’s upside in variance, and the Commanders are chasing that.

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