Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Fleetwood Town +175 (To Win in Full Time) over Walsall

Highbury Stadium – Fleetwood, England

England League Two

10:00 PM ET. This one isn’t about Fleetwood. It’s about Walsall. The Saddlers are the “feel-good” redemption story of League Two — the side that choked away promotion last spring, now charging back to put things right. The market loves those kinds of stories, and so does the public. Walsall has 15 points from seven matches and the table looks tidy. The narrative is strong, the optics are clean.

Fleetwood, on the other hand, is wallpaper. They sit mid-table, just lost narrowly at Notts County, and carry no brand clout. Nobody is rushing to the window to back the Fishermen. That’s exactly why we are.

If Walsall is as bulletproof as their early record suggests, why aren’t they being priced like it? Why are Fleetwood and Walsall sitting at nearly identical prices, each hovering around +170 to +175? That’s the market screaming at us not to buy into the headline hype. The Saddlers are being oversold.

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