Posted at 11:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

St. Louis +130 over San Diego

9:45 PM EST. Michael McGreevy (RHP - STL) has quietly become one of the more reliable young arms in the National League, and the price on St. Louis here feels a little too generous considering the pitching matchup. McGreevy enters this start with a 2-2 record, a sharp 2.52 ERA, and 24 strikeouts while continuing to pound the strike zone and limit hard contact. He was outstanding in his most recent outing against the Dodgers, tossing six scoreless innings in a Cardinals win, and he’s now allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Cardinals have also started to play much cleaner baseball overall, winning tight, low-scoring games with timely hitting and quality bullpen work. St. Louis just took the opener of this series in San Diego behind another strong pitching performance, and confidence is clearly building inside that clubhouse.

Griffin Canning (RHP - SD) has looked good in limited action since returning to the Padres rotation, carrying a 1.80 ERA into this matchup, but there are still questions surrounding workload and consistency after missing significant time with injury. San Diego has leaned heavily on its pitching staff early in the season, and this spot sets up as a tougher assignment against a Cardinals lineup that has started producing quality at-bats from top to bottom. Jordan Walker continues to swing a hot bat in the middle of the order, while Masyn Winn and Alec Burleson have delivered clutch offense during this recent stretch. St. Louis isn’t overwhelming offensively, but it’s becoming a difficult lineup to navigate because there are very few easy outs right now.

The biggest edge for St. Louis in this matchup is value. San Diego has earned respect with its strong start, but the Cardinals are playing just as well lately and continue to thrive in underdog spots because of their improving starting pitching. McGreevy gives St. Louis a legitimate chance to control the pace of this game, and the Cardinals have already shown they can win this type of low-scoring series against elite competition. Petco Park naturally favors pitchers, which only increases the appeal of grabbing plus money with the more stable starter right now. If this turns into another tight game late, St. Louis has already proven this week it can execute in the small moments that decide these matchups. Back the Cardinals on the moneyline.

Take advantage of BET365's early NFL payout offer

Bet365 Early Payout – How It Works

Straight Bets:

If the team you back to win goes up by the designated number of points at any time during the game, BET365 will pay out your bet in full immediately, even if the opposing team later comes back and wins the game.

Parlays & Same Game Parlays:
If a team you’ve selected goes up by the designated number of points that selection will be marked as WON in My Bets. Any remaining legs of the parlay will continue to run as normal.

Once a selection is marked as won under the Early Payout rules, it cannot be reversed, regardless of what happens later in the game.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------