Bookmaker    +105

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

WYTHENSHAWE TOWN +150 (To Win in Full Time) over Shifnal Town

Ericstan Park – Wythenshawe, Greater Manchester, England

Northern League Division One

United Kingdom Soccer

10:00 AM ET. This line doesn’t add up on paper. Wythenshawe Town barely survived relegation last season and early signs this year suggest they’re in for another fight at the wrong end of the table. Four points from four matches, with their only win coming against last-place Trafford, doesn’t exactly scream upside.

Shifnal Town, meanwhile, look like the opposite. Promoted last year, they’ve come out of the gates unbeaten, sitting third in the table with 10 points from four matches. By form, Shifnal is miles ahead.

So why are the prices virtually a pick ’em? Wythenshawe is +150, Shifnal +140, and the draw +240. That’s the market telling you not to trust the surface read. This trip north is no cakewalk for Shifnal, and the way this is priced suggests oddsmakers are protecting against a Withy win rather than a Shifnal cruise.

This is what we look for: a bad-on-paper side priced like they belong. When the market treats a dog as an equal, it’s because the dog is a threat. Wythenshawe Town is exactly that in this spot. We’re on them to bag all three.

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