Posted at 10:00 AM EST. Odds are subject to change.

Friday, March 20

UCF +5½ over UCLA

Xfinity Mobile Arena – Philadelphia, PA

7:25 PM EST. This number is inflated based on brand recognition. UCLA gets priced like a power house, but the gap here is nowhere near five and a half points. UCF has the athletes, the size, and the defensive profile to match up cleanly.

UCF defends the perimeter, controls the glass, and doesn’t beat itself. UCLA relies on stretches of shot-making and tempo swings, and that becomes far less reliable in a tournament setting against a team that can physically match them.

This game is going to be tight from start to finish. Possessions matter, and UCF has the structure to stay inside this number the entire way. You’re getting points in a game that plays down to the wire.

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