Bookmaker    -3½ -105

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Kansas State -3½ -105 over Iowa State

Neutral Site – Aviva Stadium, Dublin, Ireland

12:00 PM ET. Farmageddon goes Irish this year, and the market is giving Iowa State more credit than it should. Last season’s run — a Big 12 Championship appearance, a bowl win, and all the buzz of a team “on the rise” — has stuck in the heads of the public. They’re taking the points, and some are calling for the outright win. That’s noise.

Kansas State is the side built for this moment. Avery Johnson brings a dual-threat dynamic that Iowa State doesn’t have. Dylan Edwards and Jayce Brown round out a skill corps that will stress a Cyclones defense replacing key pieces. Meanwhile, Rocco Becht doesn’t have the downfield threats to stretch a front seven that lives for chaos.

The line opened KSU -3.5 and hasn’t moved — that’s quiet confidence from the oddsmaker. Kansas State’s edges are real, not narrative-driven. Iowa State is riding sentiment. Kansas State is bringing steel. Underlay.

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