Bookmaker    +13½  -110

Posted at 8:00 AM ET. Odds are subject to change

Florida St +13½ over Alabama

Doak-Campbell Stadium – Tallahassee, FL

3:30 PM ET. Florida State fell from 13-0 and an ACC title in 2023 to 2-10 in 2024. That collapse has erased all market faith in the Seminoles, which sets up value here.

Alabama, meanwhile, is being priced on reputation. Kalen DeBoer enters Year Two with pressure to restore Saban-era dominance, yet this team is still searching for an identity. Quarterback Ty Simpson is unproven, the receiver group lacks depth behind Ryan Williams, and the defense is not at its historical level.

Mike Norvell’s offense is designed to attack Alabama’s exact weaknesses. Quarterback Thomas Castellanos can extend plays with his legs, and the Crimson Tide have struggled against mobile passers. Florida State has nothing to lose, and the number is inflated to reflect Alabama’s name more than its roster.

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